Migration Anticipation and Preparedness

Governments face increasing pressure to respond swiftly and effectively to rapidly evolving international migration flows - whether forced or planned. Anticipation is key to this response, but remains a challenge, and some important categories of migration are still not the object of forecast. This practical guide offers concrete measures to introduce, run and strengthen migration forecasting systems and preparedness strategies. Drawing on country practices, research and the lessons of the OECD's multi-country Migration Anticipation and Preparedness (MAP) Task Force, it addresses the following questions: for what should forecasting tools be used, why migration needs to be forecast by category rather than only in aggregate, how to select models and data that fit specific purposes, how to credibly evaluate performance, and how to communicate results to policymakers so that forecasts can be used effectively and appropriately.